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NJ Wrestle ScoutNJSIAA · New Jersey · 2025-26

New Jersey · 2025-26

Dual Matchup Projection

Projects each matchup from published results. About these numbers

The mirror image: away names first on the odd bouts. The draw decides bout order, and in the commit-order modes it decides who names a wrestler first at every weight.

Middletown North favored

3531

60% to win·middle half: Middletown North by 30 to Middletown South by 14·1,000 simulations·on the schedule

One upset flips this: Middletown North losing at 132 lb hands the dual over. That run of results has about a 21% chance.

Middletown SouthMiddletown North

106 lb · bout 1Heavy favorite
Michael FieldingMiddletown South · SO98% for Thomas BlewettThomas BlewettMiddletown North · JR

93% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown North +5 tech fall5–0 Middletown North

113 lb · bout 2Heavy favorite
Ryder HartmanMiddletown South · SO97% for Ryan BlewettRyan BlewettMiddletown North · FR+ (est.)

94% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown North +6 pin11–0 Middletown North

120 lb · bout 3Strong favorite
Peter TrezzaMiddletown South · SO94% for Peter TrezzaJacob CinquegranaMiddletown North · SO+ (est.)

82% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown South +3 decision11–3 Middletown North

126 lb · bout 4Likely
John MurphyMiddletown South · FR82% for Mac CrudupMac CrudupMiddletown North · SR

62% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown North +4 major15–3 Middletown North

132 lb · bout 5Likely
John PrattMiddletown South · FR79% for Shane MyiowShane MyiowMiddletown North · SR

61% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown North +3 decision18–3 Middletown North

138 lb · bout 6Toss-up
Ryan RomanoMiddletown South · JR56% for Ryan RomanoTyler OdenMiddletown North · SR

30% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown South +3 decision18–6 Middletown North

144 lb · bout 7Strong favorite
Tyler AlweissMiddletown South · SR85% for Jackson FearonJackson FearonMiddletown North · JR+ (est.)

62% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown North +5 tech fall23–6 Middletown North

150 lb · bout 8Strong favorite
Ben SmolenskyMiddletown South · SR92% for Nicholas WallNicholas WallMiddletown North · SR

83% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown North +6 pin29–6 Middletown North

157 lb · bout 9Likely
Matthew CaccamoMiddletown South · SR76% for Matthew CaccamoLucas BaronMiddletown North · SR

57% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown South +3 decision29–9 Middletown North

165 lb · bout 10Likely
Ryan WilliMiddletown South · SR82% for Ryan WilliNico CordovaMiddletown North · SR

63% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown South +4 major29–13 Middletown North

175 lb · bout 11Strong favorite
John McCormackMiddletown South · SR94% for Daniel BenbrookDaniel BenbrookMiddletown North · SR

93% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown North +6 pin35–13 Middletown North

190 lb · bout 12Limited dataStrong favorite
Max AlweissMiddletown South · SO89% for Max AlweissLogan GundersenMiddletown North · FR+ (est.)

98% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown South +6 pin35–19 Middletown North

215 lb · bout 13Lean
Liam BrettMiddletown South · JR65% for Liam BrettJake SchettinoMiddletown North · SR

74% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown South +6 pin35–25 Middletown North

285 lb · bout 14Lean
Thomas GelpkeMiddletown South · JR69% for Thomas GelpkeBryon HoffmanMiddletown North · SO+ (est.)

82% chance of bonus points if they win.

Middletown South +6 pin35–31 Middletown North

NJSIAA tiebreaker criteria

Applied only when a dual finishes level on team points, in this order until one separates the teams.

CriterionMiddletown SouthMiddletown North
Matches won77
Falls & defaults33
Forfeits given up00
Technical falls02
Major decisions11

Model fitted 2026-08-24. Bout order from 106 lb.

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