106 lb · bout 1Heavy favorite
93% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +5 tech fall5–0 Middletown North
New Jersey · 2025-26
Dual Matchup Projection
Projects each matchup from published results. About these numbers
Home names a wrestler first on bouts 1, 3, 5… so the away coach answers those and home answers the even ones. The draw decides bout order, and in the commit-order modes it decides who names a wrestler first at every weight.
Middletown North favored
38–2963% to win·middle half: Middletown North by 32 to Middletown South by 13·1,000 simulations·on the schedule
It takes 2 upsets to flip: Middletown North would have to lose at 157 lb, 132 lb. That run of results has about a 8% chance.
113 lb · bout 2Heavy favorite
94% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +6 pin11–0 Middletown North
120 lb · bout 3Strong favorite
82% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown South +3 decision11–3 Middletown North
126 lb · bout 4Likely
62% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +4 major15–3 Middletown North
132 lb · bout 5Likely
61% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +3 decision18–3 Middletown North
138 lb · bout 6Toss-up
30% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown South +3 decision18–6 Middletown North
144 lb · bout 7Strong favorite
62% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +5 tech fall23–6 Middletown North
150 lb · bout 8Strong favorite
83% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +6 pin29–6 Middletown North
157 lb · bout 9Lean
55% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +3 decision32–6 Middletown North
165 lb · bout 10Heavy favorite
85% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown South +5 tech fall32–11 Middletown North
175 lb · bout 11Strong favorite
93% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown North +6 pin38–11 Middletown North
190 lb · bout 12Limited dataStrong favorite
98% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown South +6 pin38–17 Middletown North
215 lb · bout 13Lean
74% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown South +6 pin38–23 Middletown North
285 lb · bout 14Lean
82% chance of bonus points if they win.
Middletown South +6 pin38–29 Middletown North
NJSIAA tiebreaker criteria
Applied only when a dual finishes level on team points, in this order until one separates the teams.
| Criterion | Middletown South | Middletown North |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 6 | 8 |
| Falls & defaults | 3 | 3 |
| Forfeits given up | 0 | 0 |
| Technical falls | 1 | 2 |
| Major decisions | 0 | 1 |
Model fitted 2026-08-24. Bout order from 106 lb.