New Jersey · 2025-26

Dual Matchup Projection

Projects each matchup from published results. About these numbers

LineupsMost likely Coach's choice Home Odd Home Even

Each side fields its likeliest starter at every weight. No counter-picking. The draw decides bout order, and in the commit-order modes it decides who names a wrestler first at every weight.

Middletown North favored

35–31

60% to win·middle half: Middletown North by 30 to Middletown South by 14·1,000 simulations·on the schedule

One upset flips this: Middletown North losing at 132 lb hands the dual over. That run of results has about a 21% chance.

Middletown South Middletown North

ViewCards Compact

Wt	Projected winner	Odds	Projected score
106 lb	Thomas BlewettJRover Michael Fielding	98%	5–0 Middletown North
113 lb	Ryan BlewettFR+ (est.)over Ryder Hartman	97%	11–0 Middletown North
120 lb	Peter TrezzaSOover Jacob Cinquegrana	94%	11–3 Middletown North
126 lb	Mac CrudupSRover John Murphy	82%	15–3 Middletown North
132 lb	Shane MyiowSRover John Pratt	79%	18–3 Middletown North
138 lb	Ryan RomanoJRover Tyler Oden	56%	18–6 Middletown North
144 lb	Jackson FearonJR+ (est.)over Tyler Alweiss	85%	23–6 Middletown North
150 lb	Nicholas WallSRover Ben Smolensky	92%	29–6 Middletown North
157 lb	Matthew CaccamoSRover Lucas Baron	76%	29–9 Middletown North
165 lb	Ryan WilliSRover Nico Cordova	82%	29–13 Middletown North
175 lb	Daniel BenbrookSRover John McCormack	94%	35–13 Middletown North
190 lb	Max AlweissSOover Logan Gundersen	89%	35–19 Middletown North
215 lb	Liam BrettJRover Jake Schettino	65%	35–25 Middletown North
285 lb	Thomas GelpkeJRover Bryon Hoffman	69%	35–31 Middletown North

NJSIAA tiebreaker criteria

Applied only when a dual finishes level on team points, in this order until one separates the teams.

Criterion	Middletown South	Middletown North
Matches won	7	7
Falls & defaults	3	3
Forfeits given up	0	0
Technical falls	0	2
Major decisions	1	1

Model fitted 2026-08-24. Bout order from 106 lb.